Not So Fast! Gold Sales for Debt Relief or for a More Permanent ESAF?
by Carol Welch
Friends of the Earth-U.S.
Many of the proposals for debt relief currently being tabled by
G-7 leaders -- including President Clinton -- rely on the sale of
part of the IMF's hoard of gold for financing. In itself, using
the IMF's gold to benefit the poorest countries through debt relief
is a very good idea. Indeed, NGOs have long proposed precisely this
move.
Extreme caution is required, however, and a close examination of
these proposals may reveal ulterior motives that have grave consequences
for the poorest sectors of society. The IMF has been trying for
several years to finance its Enhanced Structural Adjustment Facility
(ESAF), its low interest loan program for the poorest countries.
ESAF is an unpopular program, however, that has been opposed by
NGOs around the world because of the harsh structural adjustment
conditions attached to its loans. ESAF is also treated with skepticism
by the U.S. Congress. Undaunted by criticism, however, the IMF wants
to secure enough resources to make ESAF self-sustaining. That would
be accomplished by providing funds until around 2004, at which time
the IMF calculates that repayments from past ESAF loans would be
sufficient to fund future loans. This would free the IMF from having
to go hat in hand to Congress and would equip the IMF with a permanent
ESAF that will keep it forever involved in the poorest countries
and their economic policies.
The IMF has historically been hostile to the idea of debt relief,
but agreed in late 1996 to participate in the HIPC initiative. The
IMF scored a great coup with its participation, however: the linking
of ESAF to HIPC debt relief. To qualify and eventually receive HIPC
debt relief, a country must go through between three and six years
of an ESAF program -- programs that are notoriously difficult to
complete because of their harsh and socially unacceptable levels
of austerity.
The IMF also succeeded in linking the financing of the HIPC initiative
to the financing of its ESAF program. This means that the IMF will
not contribute extra resources to the HIPC initiative, until it
receives enough resources for a self-sustaining ESAF.
While the idea of gold sales for debt relief has been tossed around
for many years, so has the idea of gold sales as a way to finance
ESAF. The danger the various G-7 debt proposals is that gold sales
might be used to create a permanent ESAF, with a portion of the
gold sales proceeds dedicated to debt relief, serving as a "sweetener"
to officials who might otherwise oppose a self-sustaining ESAF.
Such suspicions are fueled by the amount of gold -- 10% of the
IMF's stock, valued at about $30 billion total -- the U.S. and others
are proposing to sell. Three billion dollars roughly corresponds
to what the IMF forecasts it would need for both ESAF and its participation
in the HIPC initiative, making the intention behind the gold sales
proposals crystal clear. Any decision by the IMF to sell gold will
eventually need to be approved by the U.S. Congress. It is quite
likely that approval within the IMF Board will happen relatively
soon, and Congress could be asked to approve IMF gold sales this
year. It is critical that Congress not let the US Treasury Department
and the IMF hoodwink it into thinking that gold sales are going
purely for debt relief. It is also extremely important that Congress
realize that a self-sustaining ESAF would eliminate a crucial leverage
point that Congress can use with the Treasury Department to push
for needed IMF reform.
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