"Investment-Led" Adjustments for Africa
by Jim Lobe
WASHINGTON, Dec 7 (IPS) - Structural adjustment programmes
(SAPs) in Africa largely have failed to create new jobs or thriving
economies and 'investment-led'' strategies are needed where
the state plays a leading role, says a new U.N. report.
In a harsh assessment of SAPs, the report by a joint
task force of the International Labour Organisation (ILO) and the
UN Development Programme (UNDP) charges that structural adjustment
in sub-Sahara Africa has been 'purchased at the price of economic
contraction, high unemployment and massive poverty.''
The report, Jobs for Africa,' urges greater
public investment in key sectors, particularly in labour-intensive
infrastructure projects. 'Employment creation is the most
effective mechanism for reducing poverty,'' it asserts.
'Governments which have attempted to follow
a path of structural adjustment through reallocation have regarded
public sector investment, and indeed public spending in general,
as competitive with private sector investment,'' according to the
91-page report. 'This view, however, urgently needs to be
reassessed.''
'The process of reform has to be deepened by
going beyond structural adjustment stabilization programmes, and
by launching investment-led growth strategies that maximise employment
and reduce poverty,'' writes Samir Radwan, who coordinated the preparation
of the report. Africa, he adds, 'has no alternative.''
The report, released here Sunday, was mandated by
the 1995 World Summit on Social Development in Copenhagen. It was
produced by the ILO/UN Development Programme task force on Employment
Generation and Poverty Reduction, and financed by the New York-based
UNDP.
While the economic performance of many African countries
has improved in recent years, according to the report, 'the
employment situation remains critical.''
Despite the implementation of SAPs, 'unemployment
and underemployment rates are increasing rapidly, with average urban
unemployment rates on the continent having almost doubled over the
past 15 years, to over 20 percent and projected to approach 30 percent
by the year 2000.''
The result is increasing poverty, projected to reach
about 50 percent by the end of the decade. Currently, 61 percent
of Africa's work force is engaged in agriculture and about 76 percent
of the African work force is engaged in non-wage employment.
According to the report, the single most important
structural change in African employment patterns of the past 25
years is the expansion of the urban informal sector. As SAPs, which
normally require sharp cuts in the public sector, have taken hold,
more and more laid-off workers have moved to the informal sector.
Structural adjustment, according to the report, was
designed to achieve three major results:
- to reallocate production to favour goods in which a country
has a comparative advantage;
- rapidly expand exports;
- increase the rate of investment and improve its allocation
to spur economic growth, incomes and new employment.
SAPs, usually designed by the International Monetary
Fund and the World Bank, have been implemented in almost every African
country over the past 15 years. A flaw in the way adjustment has
been implemented, however, lies in the incorrect assumption that,
as production shifted from, say, manufacturing to mining, the human
and physical assets could be quickly and painlessly redeployed,
the report argues.
In fact, it goes on, 'the physical capital used
in a brewery, or a textile mill or a food processing plant cannot
be converted for use down a mine shaft...,'' and 'the worker
on an electronics assembly line ... cannot be transformed into an
underground miner...''
The result is the loss of jobs and production in manufacturing,
and stagnation in the more-profitable export activities, like mining.
'Structural adjustment is purchased at the price of economic
contraction, high unemployment and massive poverty,'' the report
says.
The response of aid donors has been to construct 'safety
nets'' to alleviate the worst of the hardships. But these have been
inadequate to deal with the hardships caused by the economy's contraction.
'The resources required to construct an effective
safety net would ...be enormous and such an undertaking is not feasible
given the sharp decline in available resources,'' says the report.
'...What is needed is not so much a safety net as policies
that put the economy on a different path of adjustment.''
Such 'adjustment through investment'' would
try to avoid contraction by ensuring that production is not reduced
in any sector, according to the report which cites the experiences
of China and Vietnam as examples where expansion took place in all
sectors of the economy while market reforms were introduced.
"Structural adjustment along this path is part
of a growth strategy [...] designed to increase investment in physical,
human and natural capital and to channel that investment into economic
activities which have become highy profitable as a result of changes
in the structure of incentives,'' according to the report. Structural
adjustment through investment 'does not result in a rise in
unemployment, a fall in average real incomes or an increase in poverty.''
Moreover, the report says, SAPs have also failed to
realise their promise of sharply boosting exports or investment.
In more than two-thirds of the 31 countries covered by the study,
export earnings and investment actually grew at a slower rate than
population between 1980 and 1994.
Instead, reforms must address "the urgent need
to increase investment and to improve its allocation among sectors
and projects," according to the report.
Incentives should be restructured so that investment
is responsive to the needs of the vast majority of people, particularly
for education and health care, but also for improvements in capital
markets to improve access to credit for women, the mushrooming informal
sector, and small farmers, the report says.
In addition, the state should invest more in human,
physical and natural capital, including transport, power, water
and sewage facilities, vocational training, health and nutrition,
and applied agricultural research. Labour-intensive public projects
should be encouraged as much as possible.
In agriculture, the report recommends diversication
away from large-scale commodity production and land reform. It notes
that small farmers are not only more productive but also absorb
more labour per hectare than large proprietors. (END/IPS/jl/mk/97)
This article was reprinted with permission from
InterPress Service.
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